A Severe Weather Warning has been issued for the south-east coastal region of Victoria — including the Mornington Peninsula and Frankston areas — for Wednesday, 22 October 2025. According to the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), the warning is in effect from early afternoon into the evening, with the most significant impacts expected between 3:00 pm and 9:00 pm.
Forecast Details
Winds are expected to reach 60–80 km/h, with gusts potentially up to 110 km/h. Rainfall of 5–15 mm is predicted, followed by possible thunderstorm activity. The highest risk period for hazardous conditions is across the afternoon into evening hours. The current forecast for Mornington shows showers developing through the afternoon with a drop in temperature into the evening.
Likely Impacts and Advice
Given the expected conditions, the following risks are elevated for the Peninsula, Frankston and adjoining coastal and inland communities:
- Power outages: Strong winds may bring down trees, branches or powerlines.
- Transport interruptions: Road conditions may become hazardous due to wind-blown debris, fallen trees or flooding of low-lying or coastal roads. Travel may be strongly advised against during peak periods of risk.
- Hazardous road conditions: Rain and wind combined may reduce visibility, increase stopping distances and lead to surface water, especially in exposed coastal areas and on elevated roads.
- Property or outdoor hazard: Loose items such as outdoor furniture, trampolines or decorations should be secured. Trees and structures previously vulnerable may be more risk-prone in these conditions.
The BoM and the Victoria State Emergency Service (SES) recommend staying indoors if possible, keeping clear of windows, and avoiding travel through the peak hazard period. Also:
- Avoid parking under trees or powerlines.
- Stay well away from fallen powerlines and assume they are live.
- Delay non-essential travel until conditions improve.
- Monitor local forecasts and warnings.
What To Do Now
Download or open the VicEmergency App, which offers real-time alerts, maps of incidents, official warnings and preparedness advice for Victoria. Set the app to send notifications and keep it open throughout Wednesday. Secure outdoor furniture, remove or tie down items that may become airborne. Charge mobile devices, have torches or backup lighting ready in case of power loss. If you must travel, check for alerts beforehand, stick to main roads where possible, and avoid wooded or exposed areas during high winds.
Where and When the Impact Is Expected
The morning into early afternoon may see initial wind gusts, with conditions intensifying from about 3:00 pm onwards, continuing into the evening across the Mornington Peninsula and Frankston region. As of the latest forecast, showers are likely to begin during the afternoon, turning into more persistent rain from late-afternoon into evening.
Residents are encouraged to stay alert and follow updates via the Bureau of Meteorology and the VicEmergency App throughout the day.
